Strategy note #6: Charting the acceleration (Part 1)
10 dimensions of how the world is changing around us. Faster.
(The latest in Memia’s series of Strategy Notes exploring the convergence of AI and strategy practice…)
The new navigation coordinates: charting accelerating change across multiple dimensions
As I explored in my book ⏩Fast Forward Aotearoa, it’s not just AI. *Everything* of consequence feels like it is changing around us at a faster and faster rate.
In this strategy note I’ll skim through the first 5 of 10 key dimensions of the acceleration in charts to illustrate the point:
In this note:
Technology
The biosphere
Demographics
Geopolitics and trade
Financial system
Next note:
Energy
Biological science
Society and culture
Knowledge production
Technocapital concentration
And thereafter on to the glaring question: what does this mean for the cadence of strategic planning cycles — which will surely need to accelerate as well? (Punchline: luckily AI can help here…)
1. Technology
Exponentially decreasing cost curves of compute-per-dollar continue with no end in sight:
As per every weekly Memia newsletter, new AI capabilities are arriving weekly. AI is now at or surpassing humans on most cognitive benchmarks: (be very careful saying that “AI will never be able to do X”).
Likewise robotics and automation breakthroughs are arriving at breakneck speed:
Physical-world autonomy is nearly solved:
via Reddit And swarm intelligence is production-ready:
The biggest tech companies are now piling into another round of capex in anticipation of future dividends… or at least not to come third in the AI race:
…Which implies the projected AI data center buildout could deliver 4X more energy consumption (…and cooling!) as early as the end of this decade. Where will all this power come from?
2. Biosphere
The planet’s environment is changing at an accelerating rate as well:
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